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Iron Wolf Saber
Den of Swords
7864
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Posted - 2013.08.29 00:08:00 -
[1] - Quote
Well this here is bad math on the simple mere fact is nearly impossible to make a correlation but because most MMO's HIDE the crap out of subscription numbers and active player numbers it makes this extremely difficult to make any sense of anything. Certainly something I wouldn't submit to my statistics professor but here goes.
Eve Online is known to have 500,000 subscribing (consumed for account plexes, and monthly real cash payments) accounts. Population is about 40k players based on the past month here
http://eve-offline.net/?server=tranquility
So based on this it can be poor logic divulged that the average peak is about 1/12th of the current active population. Which means that in order to maintain these numbers people have to log about 2 hours a day which is a fairly common mmo play session for a semi-casual.
Using that information it can be said that Dust's total active population is about 50,000 players throughout the day give or take.
Now the daily metric is also a bad thing to try to count as well because people's behaviors changes throughout the week and even day proof evident in the previous and this chart http://eve-offline.net/?server=dust
Like right now is around peak time. 12 hours from now server is offline. Day after cap reset is more populated than most other days. Where as in eve its GMT sunday that has the highest participation. |
Iron Wolf Saber
Den of Swords
7867
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Posted - 2013.08.29 01:53:00 -
[2] - Quote
Now then as of November 2012 we had the following come out in similar genre and theme of MMO, first person, and shooting.
Hawken Beta during PS2 release. 432,877 characters created total (automatic forum enrollment). Current Status Released 12 Dec 2012. Developers are getting laid off, Players are unable to find matches. Claimed to have 500,000 players to forbes.
District 187 (no population Information found) Current Status Released.
Absolute Force Online - Closed Beta as of November (no population information found) Current status - Released.
December 2012 None.
January 2013 Warface - Closed Development? Original release was supposed to be December 2012 claimed to have 7 million russians + japan and other countries. Current status Unknown, assumed canceled by Trion as it was removed from their game roster, claims to still be in work. Crytek supposedly still working on it but not a peep in months. Beta testers are complaining of not finding matches at all.
Renaissance Heroes Shutting down on the 30th for States and Europe.
Feb 2013 None
March 2013 None
April 2013 None
May 2013 None
June 2013 None
July 2013 None
August 2013 none
Ouch... Thats.... just terrible. Few more moo shooters are planned for this year though.
Source of releases http://www.mmofront.com/
Population sources, community websites and official game websites.
Also
Sony Online Entertainment announces more layoffs.
http://www.gamespot.com/news/layoffs-at-sony-online-entertainment-6413797
As usual its hard to tell who gets effected.The churn bucket says its DCOU staff hit the hardest. |
Iron Wolf Saber
Den of Swords
7869
|
Posted - 2013.08.29 02:17:00 -
[3] - Quote
From the looks of it though Dust 514 has stabilized, there will be a dip this month as players migrate to a very popular game this week on the same console although the dip won't be that serious as having another major shooter release on our platform. |
Iron Wolf Saber
Den of Swords
7869
|
Posted - 2013.08.29 02:29:00 -
[4] - Quote
Draxus Prime wrote:ah I love the dust player base unlike most FPS games player bases people know math (somewhat) :)
I'm just coin shooting here and harsh rounding for my head. Nothing serious. |
Iron Wolf Saber
Den of Swords
7869
|
Posted - 2013.08.29 02:47:00 -
[5] - Quote
Draxus Prime wrote:actually IWS Crytek just announced WarFace is coming to xbox 360 and likely to ps3 (off topic)
I think I updated the comments on where it went. Trion probably had to drop it because defiance ate to much of their money and flopped like hell.
http://steamcharts.com/app/224600 |
Iron Wolf Saber
Den of Swords
7871
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Posted - 2013.08.29 03:14:00 -
[6] - Quote
Draxus Prime wrote:Iron Wolf Saber wrote:Draxus Prime wrote:actually IWS Crytek just announced WarFace is coming to xbox 360 and likely to ps3 (off topic) I think I updated the comments on where it went. Trion probably had to drop it because defiance ate to much of their money and flopped like hell. http://steamcharts.com/app/224600 speaking of f2p MMOs check out Survarium by the guys who made S.T.A.L.K.E.R
That should be able to maintain its own flocking. |
Iron Wolf Saber
Den of Swords
7876
|
Posted - 2013.08.29 06:24:00 -
[7] - Quote
From the looks of it most of the SOE firings were at Austin where their single player games are mostly developed and their HQ in San Deigo where PS2 is developed. The number of developers fired is still unknown.
Back to the topic of 1.4 I don't think 1.4 is the grail, the only thing 1.4 needs to do is not **** the player base off. 1.5 will the first patch that will bring players back and help retain new ones and 1.6 beyond subsenquently more so. |
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