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One Eyed King
Nos Nothi
9067
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Posted - 2015.04.04 23:00:00 -
[1] - Quote
Your assumption is that the numbers continue the same path.
Extrapolating graphs and numbers in the future is always a crapshoot at best.
Something could easily happen that makes players leave more quickly. At the same time, matchmaking could get worked out and we could end up with growth, or even just a slower decline.
Former CEO of the Land of the BIind.
Any double entendre is unintended I assure you.
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One Eyed King
Nos Nothi
9072
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Posted - 2015.04.05 00:29:00 -
[2] - Quote
My point with extrapolating still stands. If you were to take this information in October of 2013 and make the same conclusion, you would have seen a drastic decrease, and expect the lifetime to be a few months.
If you took from that October to July 2014, you would expect Dust to grow, not go offline.
There is nothing in that data the suggests events that will happen in the future, or how players will react to it negatively or positively.
It might not even have something to do with CCP, maybe something that happens in another country, like Brazil getting rid of the insane tariffs they have, or something else that Rattati releases that goes gangbusters and new player retention rates skyrocket (or plummets).
Speculation is pointless.
Former CEO of the Land of the BIind.
Any double entendre is unintended I assure you.
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One Eyed King
Nos Nothi
9077
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Posted - 2015.04.05 02:41:00 -
[3] - Quote
Tech Ohm Eaven wrote:are many leaving ps3 to buy ps4?
my friends list shows many leaving ps3 to play ps4 games
is ps4 being sold in vast amounts?
yes
is dust 514 getting huge monthly content updates?
no
are there many new ps4 games arriving in the next few months
yes
data shows folks leaving dust 514 ?
yes
tick tock tick tock ps3 getting old and traded in for a ps4 ?
ps4 sales data points to this
ps3 sales slowing down ?
yes
Are US and EU the only country that buys consoles?
No.
Are we the only two regions that play Dust?
No.
China has recently been open to using foreign gaming devices, and Gamestop has recently accepted trade ins of the PS2 again, which is a console 2 generations old, because of demand for it.
The numbers you were quoting were probably new console sales. You neglected to take into account used console sales, as well as the current number of consoles of both generations in use. Not to mention your use of anecdotal evidence of "your friends" as that is always a poor way of gathering information.
If you lived in Costa Rica and in a hut you couldn't base global console markets based on what your friends had, as they sometimes don't even have electricity.
Speculation is pointless.
Former CEO of the Land of the BIind.
Any double entendre is unintended I assure you.
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