Kazeno Rannaa
BIG BAD W0LVES
260
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Posted - 2013.10.22 00:00:00 -
[1] - Quote
Azri Sarum wrote:I keep seeing this come up again and again, people confused as to why DUST isn't jumping at the PS4. It is a better platform in every way conceivable, except for one. Player count.
Lets just look at some numbers. There are 80 million ps3 owners. If we say 100k play dust or are at least interested enough to have it installed that means that dust is attracting 0.125% of the total market.
If we use the numbers from the poster above me and assume that 5 million PS3 owners will trade in their PS3's for PS4's in the first year we could figure out how many players would even install a PS4 version of dust.
6250.
Even if you are generous and double the ps4 sales numbers, or double the interest they can get in dust you aren't going to have enough players to make it worth their while. Heck do both, and you only get a quarter of the current install base.
So what do you think is the better course of action. Spend 6 months converting to retain the 6k players who will migrate away, or spend 6 months improving the core game, adding features that will attract new players? They are doing the right thing for now.
The thing is, as I see it and I could be incredibly blind but that would make it almost impossible for me to be on this forum, wouldn't it, anyways, both parties have some inside that deserves much consideration.
The PS3 has taken about 5 years to completely convert the old PS2 crowd. A relatively similar time line might be in store for Sony with the conversion of the PS3 base to being PS4 users/owners. So is it a bad decision, not really as I see it, and that is just as OP pointed out - numbers and the shear potential volume of available people.
But as Himiko pointed out, to not start the consideration and familiarization of CCP with the PS4 would be ludicrous. There is the distinct possibility that as console performance gets closer to that on PC's, people may make the jump from PS3 to PS4 in a shorter time frame than what happened with the jumps made by Sony consumers from PS2 to PS3. The dramatic improvements made in memory and the new GPU, not to mention the 8 CORE CPU. If CCP maintains their connection with EPIC, then it seems conceivable that they will upgrade from UNREAL engine 3 to UE 4 once they transport over to PS4.
So, needless to say, this is not an argument to be won, rather a problem to be ingested and considered as to what are the possible outcomes based upon the information we currently have and our ability to speculate (i.e., THINK OUTSIDE OF THE BOX while attempting to be prescient about what CCP devs are thinking and potentially planning). |