When you look at the star map in Dust and switch to the faction warfare tab, what you are looking at is who controls the districts Dust-side. Something some of you may have noticed since Uprising 1.4 hit is that the Minmatar and Gallente have held over 99% of the districts for what is now nearly a month.

Before I continue, let me get the elephant out of the room. Yes, I'm a known Amarr supporter. Please do not take this as me making excuses for the Amarr doing poorly in holding districts. I simply want to discuss this topic with an open mind, so please leave all snide comments at the door.

So, many people are playing FW near exclusively now. And by most accounts I have seen, whenever you play you seem to win practically every time, regardless for which faction you support. So assuming that both sides of the affair have a roughly equal number of corporations supporting them, which seems to be the case, then it must come down to the random blueberries who fight for on our behalf when we are not there. However, does it seem logical to assume that these blueberries are winning 99% of the time while on the Minmatar or Gallente side?

I've been discussing this with some people and here's a few theories we came up with, though of course with no way to prove them:

1) A dev said something around the launch of 1.4 that they were afraid Minmatar and Gallente FW matchmaking may get broken because they have no districts to attack. So this may imply that each faction is constantly pushing out contracts to attack other districts, and then the other matching that contract with a defense. So if the number of say Amarr or Caldari attack contracts are equal to the number of Minmatar or Gallente attack contracts, with so little districts for the Minmatar or Gallente to attack they will constantly be attacking the same district until it flips over, and as soon as the Amarr or Caldari gain a new district it will be relentlessly attacked until they lose it again. So it's not so much a case of the Minmatar and Gallente winning 99% of all battles, but the Amarr and Caldari simply stuck in a hole.

2) The matchmaking looks at various qualifications for who attacks and defends, taking the higher skill point players to do attacks while the lower skill point players defend. This would result in the Amarr and Caldari gaining districts, but unable to hold them for any length of time. I do notice that every time my squad takes over a district, usually within 20 to 40 minutes (1 to 2 matches) it is lost again, and that my squad almost never gets defense contracts.

3) Amarr and Caldari random bluedots are simply scrubs while Minmatar and Gallente random bluedots are actually intelligent.

Or maybe it's none of these. I'm not sure. Though I do think it would be appropriate for CCP to do a small investigation on the matter, even something as simply as looking at which side is winning what percent of the battles and relating that to the ownership percent of the districts. I know some say it doesn't really matter, but Dust-side control of FW districts does impact EVE to an extent.

Again, I am not trying to make excuses for my preferred factions status in FW, I am simply suggesting that with a mode controlled by random teaming, it is a bit suspicious that one side can hold control of over 99% of districts for so many consecutive days. If there is some proof given out that Minmatar and Gallente really are winning 99% of all FW battles then I will accept that.